Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.049305 0.053624 0.058004 0.062771 0.067805 0.072955 0.078616
2025-03-02 0.040995 0.047168 0.053666 0.060987 0.068978 0.077410 0.086953
2025-03-09 0.035101 0.042532 0.050620 0.060014 0.070564 0.081984 0.095219
2025-03-16 0.032115 0.040701 0.050322 0.061785 0.074957 0.089511 0.106696
2025-03-23 0.029244 0.038671 0.049520 0.062751 0.078272 0.095732 0.116682
2025-03-30 0.026731 0.036797 0.048677 0.063475 0.081160 0.101373 0.125971
2025-04-06 0.024109 0.034547 0.047175 0.063233 0.082765 0.105425 0.133361
2025-04-13 0.022688 0.033659 0.047215 0.064754 0.086402 0.111823 0.143495
2025-04-20 0.020471 0.031567 0.045602 0.064102 0.087296 0.114884 0.149638
2025-04-27 0.018924 0.030232 0.044840 0.064421 0.089306 0.119238 0.157303
2025-05-04 0.017890 0.029505 0.044795 0.065591 0.092336 0.124814 0.166451
2025-05-11 0.017346 0.029407 0.045542 0.067760 0.096619 0.131945 0.177532
2025-05-18 0.015132 0.026823 0.042875 0.065412 0.095143 0.131984 0.180014
2025-05-25 0.013666 0.025220 0.041451 0.064634 0.095627 0.134435 0.185465
2025-06-01 0.012435 0.023874 0.040307 0.064164 0.096463 0.137302 0.191433
2025-06-08 0.012104 0.023886 0.041075 0.066305 0.100752 0.144593 0.203008
2025-06-15 0.011512 0.023442 0.041152 0.067469 0.103738 0.150229 0.212532
2025-06-22 0.010876 0.022878 0.041016 0.068308 0.106276 0.155293 0.221358
2025-06-29 0.010011 0.021872 0.040167 0.068093 0.107355 0.158448 0.227751
2025-07-06 0.009675 0.021732 0.040609 0.069715 0.110946 0.164903 0.238416
2025-07-13 0.008811 0.020613 0.039495 0.069039 0.111339 0.167136 0.243632
2025-07-20 0.008246 0.019978 0.039098 0.069380 0.113123 0.171199 0.251231
2025-07-27 0.007917 0.019745 0.039313 0.070615 0.116152 0.176928 0.261021